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Creators/Authors contains: "Leshchinsky, Ben"

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  1. Free, publicly-accessible full text available June 1, 2026
  2. This Review synthesizes progress and outlines a new framework for understanding how land surface hazards interact and propagate as sediment cascades across Earth’s surface, influenced by interactions among the atmosphere, biosphere, hydrosphere, and solid Earth. Recent research highlights a gap in understanding these interactions on human timescales, given rapid climatic change and urban expansion into hazard-prone zones. We review how surface processes such as coseismic landslides and post-fire debris flows form a complex sequence of events that exacerbate hazard susceptibility. Moreover, innovations in modeling, remote sensing, and critical zone science can offer new opportunities for quantifying cascading hazards. Looking forward, societal resilience can increase by transforming our understanding of cascading hazards through advances in integrating data into comprehensive models that link across Earth systems. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available June 26, 2026
  3. Post-wildfire mass wasting is a major problem throughout many regions worldwide. Recent dramatic increases in global wildfire activities coupled with a shift in wildfire-prone elevation to higher altitudes raise the need to better predict post-fire rainfall-triggered landslides. Despite its importance, only a limited number of studies have investigated landslide susceptibility in areas hit by wildfires using hydromechanical models. However, most of these studies follow either qualitative or semi-quantitative approaches without explicitly considering the fire’s effects on the impacted area’s physical behavior. This study aims to develop and employ a physics-based framework to generate susceptibility maps of rainfall-triggered shallow landslides in areas disturbed by wildfire. A coupled hydromechanical model considering unsaturated flow and root reinforcement is integrated into an infinite slope stability model to simulate the triggering of shallow landslides from rainfall. The impact of fire is considered through its effects on soil and land cover properties, near-surface processes, and canopy interception. The developed model is then integrated into a geographic information system (GIS) to characterize the regional distribution of landslide potential and its variability considering topography, geology, land cover, and burn severity. The proposed framework was tested for a study site in Southern California. The site was burned in the San Gabriel Complex Fire in June 2016 and experienced widespread landsliding almost three years later following an extreme rainstorm in January 2019. The proposed framework could successfully model the location of observed shallow landslides. The model also revealed a significantly higher likelihood for slope failure in areas burned at moderate to high severities as opposed to unburned and low-burn severity areas. The findings of this study can be employed to predict the timing and general locations of rainfall-triggered shallow landslides following wildfires. 
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  4. Elevated groundwater levels drive slope instability through decreased effective stresses and frictional strength. Consequently, landslide mitigation often relies on a variety of stabilizing techniques, often including dewatering and drainage as a primary control on stability. One of the most effective dewatering techniques for landslides are horizontal drain systems, which consist of arrays of perforated pipes drilled into hillslopes for gravity-driven removal of groundwater. One of the few economical solutions for large-magnitude, groundwater-driven landslides, horizontal drain arrays facilitate groundwater drawdown through gravity-driven flow, consequently increasing effective stress and slope stability within its domain of influence. However, design of horizontal drain systems remain largely observational and there is limited insight towards the transient performance of these drainage systems. This study aims to explore relevant theoretical design criteria for horizontal drain systems and their relative importance as related to drawdown mechanism and magnitude, as well as slope stability. 
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  5. Abstract Distributions of landslide size are hypothesized to reflect hillslope strength, and consequently weathering patterns. However, the association of weathering and critical zone architecture with mechanical strength properties of parent rock and soil are poorly-constrained. Here we use three-dimensional stability to analyze 7330 landslides in western Oregon to infer combinations of strength - friction angles and cohesion - through analysis of both failed and reconstructed landslide terrain. Under a range of conditions, our results demonstrate that the failure envelope that relates shear strength and normal stress in landslide terrain is nonlinear owing to an exchange in strength with landslide thickness. Despite the variability in material strength at large scales, the observed gradient in proportional cohesive strength with landslide thickness may serve as a proxy for subsurface weathering. We posit that the observed relationships between strength and landslide thickness are associated with the coalescence of zones of low shear strength driven by fractures and weathering, which constitutes a first-order control on the mechanical behavior of underlying soil and rock mass. 
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  6. Displacement monitoring is a critical step to understand, manage, and mitigate potential landside hazard and risk. Remote sensing technology is increasingly used in landslide monitoring. While significant advances in data collection and processing have occurred, much of the analysis of remotely-sensed data applied to landslides is still relatively simplistic, particularly for landslides that are slow moving and have not yet “failed”. To this end, this work presents a novel approach, SlideSim, which trains an optical flow predictor for the purpose of mapping 3D landslide displacement using sequential DEM rasters. SlideSim is capable of automated, self-supervised learning by building a synthetic dataset of displacement landslide DEM rasters and accompanying label data in the form of u/v pixel offset flow grids. The effectiveness, applicability, and reliability of SlideSim for landslide displacement monitoring is demonstrated with real-world data collected at a landslide on the Southern Oregon Coast, U.S.A. Results are compared with a detailed ground truth dataset with an End Point Error RMSE = 0.026 m. The sensitivity of SlideSim to the input DEM cell size, representation (hillshade, slope map, etc.), and data sources (e.g., TLS vs. UAS SfM) are rigorously evaluated. SlideSim is also compared to diverse methodologies from the literature to highlight the gap that SlideSim fills amongst current state-of-the-art approaches. 
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